As the All Blacks prepare to tour again, the inevitable question comes around as to how they will do, how good or bad are they and will they win the next World Cup?
I don't bloody know!!!
But, I do have strong views on the All Blacks, probably more so than any other team apart from England of course! Why? For many reasons actually, and I shall try to explain;
When I was much younger the rugby book that made the most impact on me was Graham Mourie's book, firstly because in those days there was a mystique and aura that surrounded the All Black's, more than any other side and secondly I was fascinated at some of his comments on captaincy and his fights with those in charge (I was only a school captain at the time but was desperately trying to get better!!) The aura etc was due to the infrequency that we ever saw the All Blacks and down to the basic colour of the playing kit - it all induced that reputation of tough, uncompromising warriors.
I remember watching the likes of Shelford, Jones, Kirwan and Stanley and being very in awe as well as bloody terrified!
My own career stumbled along and somehow I managed to get picked for England - desperation makes selectors do very strange things! And during my early years I was actually fit enough for the Barbarians to pick me to play in the Hong Kong 7's. Here I met my first All Blacks, and what a contrast they were. Eric Rush and Zinzan Brooke! Eric constantly played a crazy game, based on making stupid noises and raising eye brows - he was world class at it, but over three days bloody drove me crazy! Zinny was just this class act on the pitch, we lost to them in the semi-final, and some demi-god off it! We happened to bump into the All Black's on the Sunday lunch time, a few hours before flying home that night, as we were all drinking in the same bar. Towards the end of the session, I was standing at the bar, avoiding buying my round no doubt, when Zinny stood next to me and grabbed my shirt! Quite forward in my book, especially when he is just not my type (he has black hair for starters!!) Anyway I put up with his grip for a few minutes, because he is quite a big guy and then slowly prised his fingers off me, at which point he just collapsed! He has since claimed that his drinks were spiked, but having been drinking with him far too many times I now know that he is just a light weight!!
It made quite an impression on me, watching the All Blacks, sensing their pride in the shirt, watching a Haka, and witnessing their skill level etc. The next time I encountered them, they beat us in the opening game of the 1991 World Cup. Craig Innes and Schuster in the middle. I toured New Zealand only once, with the British and Irish Lions, and I say 'toured' in the loosest possible sense of the word, as I was so bloody useless that I spent most of the tour on holiday with the dirt trackers- quite rightly. Although in true English style, it really got to me and when the All Blacks toured the UK in 1993, we were wound up enough to beat them.
But enough of my boring playing career against them.
They remain the best brand in World rugby, they have marketed the shirt brilliantly, it is still clean, and the aura is still almost as strong. The tag of World Cup chokers is amusing for en Englishman ( with the rain and the clouds we have to find our amusement in small ways, and trust me I find my amusement in some very small things...) but it is also not accurate in my view. In 1991 the Aussies were the best side in the World, In 1995 the All Blacks were and the defeat in SA was a shock, in 1999 it was the Aussies again and in 2003 it was England, so no issue with those results. The 2007 defeat was quite easily the most shocking, and the mistakes made just far too blatant and avoidable. Rotation does not work, you have to have a settled side, look at all the winners and see the consistency of selection. It is romantic to think that you win rugby matches by scoring tries, but reality means that in knock out games, you just have to bloody win and you must win! All the hot air about the referee in the Quarter Final is all well and good, but the game was still there to be won, and should still have been one despite the ref's decisions with the territory and possession that the All Blacks had - no excuses. If we are going to talk about interesting referees, I still think Andre Watson’s interpretation of scrummaging in the 2003 final was horrific and yet Johnson’s men managed to still find a way to win. A lesson that I think the All Blacks have now absorbed.
I am biased as I am an All Black fan bizarrely, but then I have been privileged to have got to know a few of the current players. A couple of years ago my company organised some corporate work for Tana, Richie and Jerry and I spent a week with these guys and was hugely impressed with how they conducted themselves, with their very down to earth approach, their humility and the impact that they had on clients. They were a class act on and off the pitch and I have got to know Dan in a similar way. So yes, I am biased, but at the same time intrigued to watch the unfolding build up to the next World Cup from a dispassionate view point.
The Boks dominated the Tri-Nations, it was comfortable for them, and for once the All Blacks looked disjointed, vulnerable and at times confused. The return of Carter made a difference, but the Boks are still without doubt the dominant force.
Despite all the PR and wailing by some former All Blacks about having to win every game and the results are just not good enough, I for one think that the last six months might just be the making of New Zealand’s attack for the 2011 World Cup. The defeats will hurt, big time, the criticism burns inside, I know, and it will forge a resolve possibly missing in 2007. It will make coaches and players ask questions that might have been left un-asked on the back of victory, and in the frustration of defeat a team will learn more about the individuals and the team than in the glory of victory, I am not advocating it by the way, far from it, and I am not doing the usual English stiff upper lip approach to losing, I hate that view, but I also do not agree with the view that the All Blacks can dominate World rugby without ever being challenged successfully by other teams. At the moment the South Africans have the upper hand, but the players that give them that edge might well have lost theirs in two years time….
So time for realism and maturity from All Black supporters, and time to ditch the macho view that the All Blacks are and always will be the best side in the world. For the majority of rugby’s history that is undoubtedly true, but in the professional era, the playing field is shifting and it will be harder and harder for New Zealand to dominate to such an extent. Sport is cyclical, and the test for the current squad is how they go about regaining the top spot, in time for the 2011 World Cup!
So who will stand up to command the midfield alongside Carter, who will stand up to dominate the line out and who will cement the back row slots alongside McCaw? Will Henry be able to inject enough enthusiasm and difference to safe guard his next few years, or will this tour highlight cracks in the coaching team that can not be ignored? It is the toughest tour that the All Blacks have looked at for a while, due to form and confidence and suddenly even doubt in the coaching set up. So many questions for such a short tour, but I for one believe by the end of this tour we will see whether the All Blacks have the playing quality, leadership on and off the pitch and steel needed to win the World Cup



Will Greenwood made comments on TV that the reason Danny Cipriani is not being picked for England are not rugby related! Apparently he is not popular and as a result he is not being picked. I heard the same reasons applied to Josh Lewsey at the end of his England rugby career. Now if that is the case, in either situation, then my attitude would be to sit the squad down and tell them to bloody grow up!! How shockingly immature and pathetic.
Tension, disagreements, and strong debates are all part of being in a team. The England team should be full of strong characters, and strong characters have strong view points and do not take too kindly to having to conform. Leadership and management are what moulds there men into an effective unit.

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